If you’ve heard about a tropical system potentially developing in the Gulf of Mexico next week, let’s set the record straight.
The GFS has been the most aggressive forecast model suggesting that a tropical system could develop over the Gulf of Mexico and potentially impact the northern Gulf Coast by next weekend.
The Canadian model has recently begun suggesting that an area of low pressure will develop in the northwest Caribbean and move toward the Gulf of Mexico late next week.
However, the European model does not agree with the GFS or Canadian models. In fact, the European is not very supportive and does not show as much moisture in the Gulf as the GFS.
Please note that the forecast could change. But for now, the forecast remains uncertain until most forecast models begin to agree.
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On average, according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), one tropical storm forms every other year and one hurricane forms about every ten years during the month of June.
Stay with your WIS First Alert Weather Team. We are keeping an eye on trends and models over the next several days to keep you updated.