An unsettled pattern is shaping up for much of this week as two weather events will affect the state.
First, a cold front will push just far enough into the southeast, stalling out over the Upstate or NC mountains, Monday through Tuesday giving us a good chance of afternoon showers and thunderstorms.
Some storms could be severe with damaging winds and large hail. The Storm Prediction Center has the state in a Marginal risk Monday.
The second, an area of Low pressure near the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico is expected to get a bit more organized over the next 24-36 hours as it moves into the Gulf of Mexico (the Gulf at the moment has a huge amount of wind shear and would limit the growth of the system). In any event, it has the potential to develop into a tropical system the next few days, giving the southeast an abundant amount of moisture to work with for widespread showers and thunderstorms Wednesday – Friday.
This is a changing situation and the FIrst Alert team will be watching the conditions closely.
Monday: Partly cloudy with a 50% chance of showers and thunderstorms by late afternoon, some storms will contain heavy rain and gusty winds (a few storms could be severe) highs lower 90s.
Tuesday: Mostly cloudy with a 60% chance of showers and thunderstorms, some storm will contain heavy rain and gusty winds. Highs upper 80s
Wednesday: Mostly cloudy with a 60% chance of showers and thunderstorms, some storm will contain heavy rain and gusty winds. Highs middle to upper 80s
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